Wind AlliesTier 1
at Illusive Webcam Regionals
decks
6
(11.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26
12-11-3
overall winrate
51.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.2%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
48.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1300
· median 1347
· range 1132–1410
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1084
Q1 1295
Q3 1459
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.6% | 12 | 5-6-1 | 45.8% | 46.9% | 49.0% | -0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.2% | +2.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.2% | +6.0 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Wind Byakko | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
